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Episode 4

Why Doesn't Your Mortgage Rate Follow the Fed?

November 3, 2026 · 8 min

The Fed's headline rate and a thirty-year mortgage price different kinds of borrowing. Discover how market expectations, inflation, mortgage-backed investments and the details of a loan help explain why the numbers don't move together.Sources:https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0507https://www.consumerfinance.gov/owning-a-home/explore-rates/https://www.consumerfinance.gov/ask-cfpb/how-should-i-use-lender-credits-and-points-also-called-discount-points-en-136/

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The Fed's headline rate and a thirty-year mortgage price different kinds of borrowing. Discover how market expectations, inflation, mortgage-backed investments and the details of a loan help explain why the numbers don't move together.


Sources:

https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0507

https://www.consumerfinance.gov/owning-a-home/explore-rates/

https://www.consumerfinance.gov/ask-cfpb/how-should-i-use-lender-credits-and-points-also-called-discount-points-en-136/